Exploring Trends
I have participated in a number of trend focused workshops
over the past several months, which have proven to have been insightful into
how to implement a structured approach to understanding and synthesising trends
that are relevant for a specific business.
One such workshop, hosted by Pure Insight was ran by Dr Tim
Jones, Future Agenda, last week in the Netherlands. Using a wide range of
trends and future issues from the Future Agenda programme, we systematically
categorised the 52 issues, which were focused on the following areas:
- Health
- Wealth
- Happiness
- Mobility
- Security
- Locality
From this categorisation, the group was able to identify a
selection of key potential opportunity spaces in which to innovate within. The
important element of this approach is that companies do not start with a
technology, and then research into how to use the technology for a certain
application and market need. Instead, companies start with an opportunity
space and then identify the pathway that the company will take to execute the
opportunity. This pathway illustrates key points in time, such as in 2015 the
scenario will be X, in 2020 the scenario will be Y, in 2025, the scenario will
be Z. For each scenario, an outline of the company’s capabilities and
technologies that need to be developed or acquired will be illustrated as a
detailed pathway.
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